The in-depth methodology breakdown for subscribers who want to see the gears turning.

Every projection we publish comes from a statistical model that estimates how well a golfer is likely to play in an upcoming round. People reasonably want to know what's going on under the hood before they lean on a number. This post walks through the methodology — the principles and the guardrails — without handing over the exact recipe. The goal is for you to understand how the sausage is made, even if we keep the seasoning to ourselves.