Welcome back to another Data Talk blog post. This week has been much more quiet on "boutique" stats which is great to see, but there are still some theories that float around that you might wonder "Is that true? How can I prove it or disprove it?" And then you are stuck in a cycle of maybe using it or maybe disregarding it, but you have no real data to support your decision.
There were 2 items that came to mind for me this week:
- Par 5 Scoring
- Course Comp (Augusta)
Since we already debunked the Par 5 scoring in the Discord, I was actually quite intrigued to dig into the Course Comp with Augusta National (aka. The Masters). For obvious reasons, looking at past winners at both venues there does seem to be a lot of crossover, so the comp seems reasonable, but still how do you quantify it over many years? So I dug into FGB Studio to find out.
I think these results might surprise you, either because it is more relevant than you thought or because you were 100% sold on the comp and this might dampen your expectations. Nonetheless, our goal is to capture the data and accurately represent the actual results so you can use this info this week for your models or player pool selections.
Below is the analysis on Augusta National and how it impacts the results at Riviera, as well as a supporting Excel document I put together for you to analyze and research yourself.
Let's dive in...