Alright welcome back guys. Hopefully you're feeling some momentum as we head into the best stretch of the year: Florida Swing into Augusta!

One real quick plug...I actually forgot to mention this on any of the shows so we will see how many we get in here. We will probably run it back for the next few weeks. But hop into this "freeroll" and will add some bonus prizes for top 3 finishers: https://www.draftkings.com/draft/contest/188177900

 

We have some strange weather with so much rain in the LA so course will definitely play damp yielding an extra bump to driving distance. Honestly I think Driving Distance plays a role anyways but certainly the wet course will be a benefit for the long guys (aka the best in this field). 

The lead-in stats really point us to a pool that reflects a major. The top players tend to outperform their lower ranked peers. Not too surprising, I love these courses where scoring is less prevalent and being more consistent T2G is truly a difference maker.

Course Details

Riviera Country Club, The

Par: 72
Yardage: 7,383
Rough: Kikuya 2"

 

Last 5 winners (at this course):
2024 Hideki Matsuyama (-17)
2023 Jon Rahm (-17)
2022 Joaquin Niemann (-19)
2021 Max Homa (-12)
2020 Adam Scott (-11)

You can see these players are all top level, especially for the year prior to their win. Besides Niemann, arguably all the rest are Major winners or potential major winners.

This goes in line with how I researched for the week. Very few players way down the board tend to have success here. Course History is also beneficial which is why I included that in my V2 model this week.

You can apply my model template in FGB Studio and see exactly what I am looking at:

Weather

Friday looks great but course will remain wet. Thursday is the question mark right now on the weather during late morning and into the afternoon. More to come as we get closer to this evening, but something to watch out for.

CORE Plays

ELITE

Going to lay out the exact same thing for scheffler as last week. I get it, single entry is a tougher decision, my preference is build without him, I think the lineups are better. But when we build a pool, we have been seeing the perfect ownership on Scottie at his price and matching the field is the best approach imo. LineupIQ should take this into account anyways, and being slightly under or over is totally fine, I just don't think he is currently a decision point to determine if you need to go 2x-3x+ the field or fade completely. No fault in either but honestly I feel pretty strongly (and exposures from other top DFS players show this too), Scottie isn't making or breaking your lineups, it is everyone else you pair with him or can build without him.